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Maersk Wants to Keep One of Panama’s Most Strategic Container Terminals. A Global Port Battle Is Developing.

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Maersk has confirmed its interest in securing a permanent operating concession for Panama's Port of Balboa, where its APM Terminals subsidiary has managed the Pacific-side container terminal since February 24, 2026. The declaration, made by Maersk's Latin America president Antonio Domínguez to Panamanian media on October 28 and highlighted internationally on November 4, comes as Panama prepares to award long-term contracts for Balboa and Cristóbal following a Supreme Court ruling that invalidated CK Hutchison's previous concession. The two ports handled a combined 3.89 million TEUs in 2025, approximately 39% of Panama's container throughput. APM Terminals operates Balboa temporarily, while MSC's Terminal Investment Limited operates Cristóbal. Neither company has been awarded a permanent concession, and Panama has not announced a definitive tender timetable.

ShipUniverse / Panama Terminal Intelligence

Two Ports. Two Shipping Giants.
One Unfinished Concession Battle.

Maersk and MSC are running terminals previously operated together by CK Hutchison's Panama Ports Company. Both temporary mandates must ultimately be replaced or otherwise resolved.
OPERATORS IN PLACEPERMANENT AWARDS PENDING4 NOVEMBER 2026
3.89MCombined 2025 TEU volume at Balboa and Cristóbal
~39%Share of Panama's 2025 container throughput
$41.9MApproved temporary concession consideration, combined
18 moMaximum initial term of each interim arrangement
01 / Who currently operates the canal-side terminals?
PACIFIC ENTRANCE

Balboa

Next to Panama City
APMT Panamá / APM TerminalsPart of A.P. Moller–Maersk
2.677MTEUs handled in 2025
under previous operator
Temporary concession
economic consideration
$26.1M
ATLANTIC ENTRANCE

Cristóbal

Colón / Atlantic canal approach
TIL Panamá / Terminal Investment Ltd.Port investment arm of MSC
1.211MTEUs handled in 2025
under previous operator
Temporary concession
economic consideration
$15.8M

02 / From court ruling to the next concession

Jan 29, 2026Supreme Court declares the original concession law unconstitutional
Feb 23–24Ruling becomes final; state approves interim terms and APM begins Balboa operations
Oct 28 / Nov 4Maersk's permanent interest reported locally, then highlighted internationally
2027 transitionLong-term tender and potential replacement of temporary operators remain unresolved
Important: The ports remain Panamanian state assets. APM and TIL hold temporary operating arrangements, not ownership of the Panama Canal. The 2025 TEU figures predate the February 2026 operator changes. The $41.9 million represents approved economic consideration across the temporary concessions, not terminal revenue or a valuation of either port.
ShipUniverse / Panama Port Competition

Balboa Is the Second-Largest
Container Gateway in Panama

The permanent concessions will be awarded in a market already dominated by transshipment activity. Carrier-owned terminal operators are competing for long-term control of strategically located operating assets.
The five principal container terminalsScroll using the top or bottom bar
Terminal / coastOperator in Nov 20262025 throughput2025 growthConcession contextCommercial significance
Manzanillo InternationalAtlantic / Colón SSA Marine MIT2.861M TEU+5.5% SEPARATE OPERATOR
Not a former PPC terminal
Panama's largest container terminal by 2025 throughput. Competes for Atlantic transshipment and liner connectivity.
BalboaPacific / Panama City APMT Panamá / Maersk2.677M TEU+1.8% TEMPORARY
Future long-term operator not selected
Second-largest national container gateway. Its Pacific position and 2025 volume make it the central target of Maersk's stated interest.
Colón Container TerminalAtlantic / Colón Colón Container Terminal1.737M TEU+10.2% SEPARATE OPERATOR
Not included in interim Balboa–Cristóbal awards
Major competing Atlantic terminal with substantial regional transshipment activity.
PSA Panama / RodmanPacific PSA Panama1.355M TEU−2.1% SEPARATE OPERATOR
Outside former PPC concession
Existing Pacific alternative to Balboa for container lines and terminal calls.
CristóbalAtlantic / Colón TIL Panamá / MSC1.211M TEU+9.4% TEMPORARY
Future long-term operator not selected
Former PPC sister terminal, now temporarily managed by a separate carrier-affiliated operator.
2025 figures originate from Panama Maritime Authority statistics and precede the February 2026 transition. Growth percentages are year-on-year comparisons, rounded to one decimal. These five terminals collectively handled about 9.84 million TEUs in 2025; Bocas Fruit adds approximately 75,000 TEUs to the national figure.

What the interim contracts reveal

APMT Panamá / Balboa$26.1M

Approved economic consideration for the temporary operating concession, up to 18 months.

TIL Panamá / Cristóbal$15.8M

Approved economic consideration for the corresponding temporary arrangement.

Combined 18-month basis$41.9M

Aggregate of the two approvals. Not an estimate of permanent concession value or terminal profit.

Four issues in the permanent concession process

01 / PROCUREMENTTender timetable and terms

Panama has yet to publish a confirmed comprehensive schedule and final evaluation criteria for the replacement long-term concessions.

02 / MARKET ACCESSEqual treatment of carriers

Future terms may need to address transparent berth allocation, access for competing shipping lines and fair terminal-service conditions.

03 / INVESTMENTCrane and yard modernization

Long-term certainty could support new equipment, maintenance and technology spending. No binding investment package for a new Balboa award is established.

04 / LEGAL EXPOSURECK Hutchison arbitration

Separate investment-treaty and concession-related proceedings continue. Claimed damages are contested demands, not judgments or money already owed.

Separate development pipeline: Corozal and Telfers

$2.6B

Estimated combined investment in two proposed new Panama Canal Authority terminal developments. The authority forecasts 5–6 million TEUs of additional annual capacity after development. This is not part of the Balboa and Cristóbal replacement-concession process, and the capacity does not yet exist.

Timing qualification: Industry accounts often refer to a July 2027 transition deadline, but the published February 23, 2026 contracts specify terms of up to 18 months, and reporting identifies possible extensions in the public interest. A precise July expiry should not be presented as an unconditional statutory deadline without reference to the executed contract terms.
ShipUniverse Interactive Tool / Port Concession Economics

What Could a Long-Term
Balboa Concession Be Worth?

Test hypothetical terminal operating economics using the real 2025 throughput benchmark. See how handling income, costs, government consideration and modernization investment affect a potential concession's financial value.
2025 Balboa actual throughput2.677M TEU
Temporary contract consideration$26.1M
Published permanent bid termsNot set
MODEL SCENARIO

Set the proposed concession terms

Only the historical volume and temporary consideration reference are published facts. All permanent-contract economics below are assumptions.

2.677M
1.0M TEU4.0M TEU
The 2025 official actual was 2,676,768 TEUs. This is a historical benchmark, not an estimate of 2026 volumes.
1.5%
−3%+6%
$120
$70$250 per TEU
Hypothetical revenue mix per throughput TEU. Not an actual published tariff or audited Balboa revenue.
$75
$35$190 per TEU
$50M
$10M$125M
$17.4M
$0$70M per year
Default is $26.1M divided by 1.5 years, an annualized arithmetic reference to the current temporary approval. It is not the proposed permanent fee.
$180M
$0$1.2B
$15M
$0$75M per year
25 years
10 years40 years
10%
5%20%
Illustrative project net present value
$0M

Discounted modeled operating cash flow less upfront investment over the chosen concession term.

Scenario generated from hypothetical assumptions
Year-one cash contribution$0M

After operating costs, consideration and sustaining investment, before tax and financing.

Year-one terminal revenue$0M

Modeled annual volume × selected revenue per TEU.

Year-one break-even volume0M

Volume required to cover the selected recurring costs.

Simple investment paybackN/A

First modeled year cumulative undiscounted cash recovers upfront investment.

Year-one operating bridge

Illustrative USD millions, not actual reported financial performance.

Gross terminal revenue$0M
Variable handling expenses$0M
Fixed operating expenses$0M
Government concession consideration$0M
Annual sustaining investment$0M
Cash after recurring costs$0M
Modeled gross revenue$0M
Recurring costs and investment$0M
Positive cash contribution$0M

Concession-duration sensitivity

Total undiscounted concession payments$0M
Volume in final modeled year0M TEU
Initial investment$0M
PV of operating cash flows$0M
Result after initial investment$0M
Changing the throughput, margins or concession payment will change modeled project economics. The result does not predict the winner of a government tender.

Calculation method and limitations

Annual terminal revenue = TEUs × assumed revenue per TEU. Annual cash contribution = revenue − (TEUs × variable cost per TEU) − fixed expenses − annual concession consideration − sustaining capital expenditure.

NPV = − upfront capital expenditure + sum of annual cash contributions discounted at the chosen rate. Volume grows annually at the selected rate; all unit revenues, unit costs, fixed annual costs, concession payments and sustaining capital expenditure remain constant in nominal dollars. No terminal residual value is assumed.

Simple payback uses cumulative, undiscounted cash contributions. It is not a financing payback or a forecast of investment recovery. The model excludes taxes, interest, debt service, working capital, inflation, construction delays, concession guarantees, equipment replacement cycles beyond entered sustaining capital expenditure and potential restrictions on terminal operations.

Factual boundary: The published $26.1 million concerns the temporary concession approved in February 2026 for up to 18 months. No permanent concession duration, new consideration, revenue, EBITDA, investment obligation or winning bid has been publicly established by the sources reviewed. All scenarios here are ShipUniverse assumptions for sensitivity testing.

Feedback Welcome

We welcome your feedback, suggestions, corrections, and ideas for enhancements.

Please click here to get in touch
By the ShipUniverse Editorial Team — About Us | Contact


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