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Poland Opens a $637 Million Tender for a New Baltic Container Gateway. Which Ports Could Lose Cargo?

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Poland launched a procurement process on November 3, 2026, for approximately PLN 2.5 billion ($637 million) of marine construction at Cape Pomerania, a new deepwater port development at Świnoujście on the Baltic Sea. The design-and-build contract covers land reclamation, protective breakwaters, dredging, navigational infrastructure and a 1,300-meter container pier. The wider development is designed to create 186 hectares of new land and accommodate a container terminal with eventual capacity of two million TEU annually. Contractor selection is scheduled for the third quarter of 2027. The procurement has been launched, but no main construction contract has yet been awarded.

ShipUniverse | Baltic Infrastructure | November 4, 2026

Poland Is Building an Entirely New Outer Port

Cape Pomerania would transform reclaimed seabed into a deepwater container gateway, with new protective structures, marine access and a terminal designed for direct ocean calls.

Marine Works Tender PLN 2.5B

Approximately US$637M; estimated procurement value

Future Container Capacity 2M TEU

Annual design target, not booked traffic

New Reclaimed Land 186 ha

Entire planned outer-port footprint

Container Pier 1,300 m

Approximately 530 meters wide

The Marine Engineering Footprint

Simplified arrangement of the published design. Dimensions describe different components and must not be added together as container berth length.

BALTIC SEA | POMERANIAN BAY
MAIN PROTECTIVE BREAKWATER 3,350 m

Integrated with dredged-material reclamation areas T3 and T4.

EASTERN PROTECTION 1,580 m

Shields the container pier and port basin.

TERMINAL PIER / T1–T2 1,300 × 530 m

Main container pier with associated infrastructure.

WIDER OUTER PORT ~3 km

Planned total quay infrastructure, beyond the initial container pier alone.

MARINE ACCESS 17 m

Planned port basin depth, with dredged access and turning area.

RECLAMATION 186 hectares

New land for terminal facilities and future outer-port development.

Conceptual engineering layout only; not to scale. A further 120-meter auxiliary quay is included in the announced works.
PUBLIC AUTHORITY 01 Maritime Office in Szczecin

Protective breakwaters, navigational approach, turning basin, dredging, marine access and associated land-reclamation works.

PUBLIC AUTHORITY 02 Szczecin–Świnoujście Port Authority

Container pier, port basin and associated marine and landside connections. One selected contractor will deliver the jointly procured works.

The Procurement Clock

Official announced and tender-notice milestones.

NOVEMBER 3, 2026 Launch

Government announces the marine works procurement.

NOVEMBER 4, 2026 EU Publication

TED notice 766318-2026 is published.

DECEMBER 2, 2026 Qualification Deadline

Requests to participate due at 10:30 CET.

Q3 2027 Contractor Selection

Target date for choosing the main contractor.

What PLN 2.5 billion actually buys: This is the estimated value of the marine design-and-build package. It is not a final awarded price, a complete accounting of terminal equipment and all related investments, or proof that two million TEUs have been committed by shipping lines.
ShipUniverse | European Container Gateway Analysis

The Baltic Has More Capacity Coming Than Just Świnoujście

Cape Pomerania enters a market with established deepsea calls, strong rail systems and competing expansion plans. Winning cargo will depend on carrier networks and all-in inland logistics costs, not quay length alone.

Six Established Gateways Under the Microscope

Actual 2025 TEU throughput unless stated otherwise. Potential competition is an analytical scenario, not a forecast of traffic losses.

Gateway 2025 TEU Infrastructure Position Possible Competitive Overlap Established Strength Evidence Type
GdańskPoland 2.77M Baltic Hub designed for 4.4M TEU annually. Polish imports, central-European transit and Baltic transshipment. Existing direct intercontinental calls, carrier connections and deepwater infrastructure. Existing Hub
GdyniaPoland >1.0M Separate Outer Port aims for at least 2.5M additional TEU capacity. Polish hinterland and competition for new ocean services. Established container operators, rail links and current liner connections. Expanding
HamburgGermany 8.30M Major North Sea deepsea gateway. Selected western Polish and central-European rail or truck cargo. Large liner-service network, established hinterland rail system and terminal scale. Existing Hub
BremerhavenGermany 5.21M About 4.93 km of container quays. Deepsea-to-Baltic feeder and selected central-European logistics flows. Established vessel services, cargo volumes and rail connections. Existing Hub
KlaipėdaLithuania 1.31M Record 2025 container throughput. Selected Baltic transshipment and connecting liner services. Existing regional cargo relationships and eastern Baltic position. Regional Gateway
Szczecin–ŚwinoujścieExisting Polish port group 109K Current port-group container throughput before Cape Pomerania. Transition from current smaller container activity toward direct deepsea operations. Existing maritime and regional infrastructure; new gateway has not yet opened. Project Home
Gdańsk's 2025 volume refers to Baltic Hub. Gdynia's 2.5M future capacity is a separate, uncompleted project. The 109K figure is for the combined existing Szczecin–Świnoujście port group, not the new Cape Pomerania terminal. Figures do not represent directly interchangeable cargo.
Three Numbers That Change the Market Discussion
Świnoujście Planned 2.0M TEU

New terminal design capacity, if completed and fully equipped.

Gdynia Outer Port Planned 2.5M+ TEU

Separate expansion seeking a private development partner.

Gdańsk Baltic Hub Designed 4.4M TEU

Existing annual design capacity, compared with 2.77M handled in 2025.

Capacity is infrastructure potential, not guaranteed demand. Adding future project capacities does not show how many TEUs shipping lines will actually move.

The Tender's Hidden Contractor Filter

EU publication 766318-2026 establishes demanding financial and construction experience requirements. Qualifying consortia are permitted subject to specific rules.

Annual Net Revenue PLN 1B

Required in each of the preceding three fiscal years.

Financial Resources / Credit PLN 350M

Minimum available finance or borrowing capacity.

Liability Insurance PLN 75M

Minimum qualifying civil-liability coverage.

Specialist experience: The tender requires qualifying marine structures projects including one with at least PLN 500M and another with at least PLN 250M in hydrotechnical works, plus at least 10 million m³ of dredging completed within a consecutive three-year period. Specific rules govern how consortium members may satisfy the requirements.
01 / DEMAND Ocean Service Commitments

Can carriers sustain scheduled direct calls?

02 / LAND Rail and Road Capacity

Can inland access support the terminal's volumes?

03 / COST Delivered TEU Economics

Can total transport charges compete with incumbents?

04 / DELIVERY Construction and Permits

Can the marine works and operating infrastructure align?

Contractor selection and cargo capture are separate markets. Dredging and breakwater firms are competing for construction work now. Container terminals, inland logistics providers and shipping lines will compete for traffic only when the new facility becomes operational.
ShipUniverse Interactive Port Market Tool

Which Ports Could Lose Cargo to Cape Pomerania?

Model annual container capture, shipping-line call capacity, inland transport limits and potential cost differences versus existing gateways.

Scenario model, not a forecast. Cape Pomerania is not yet an operating container terminal. No liner-service contracts, diverted TEU volumes or customer freight quotes are assumed to have been announced.
1. Estimate the Addressable Container Market

The addressable pool is cargo that could realistically consider switching gateways. It is not total Baltic throughput.

Hypothetical contestable inland and feeder cargo
Portion of the pool switching from other gateways
Additional business not diverted from existing ports
2. Check the Three Capacity Constraints

A planned two-million-TEU terminal does not guarantee two million TEUs of scheduled ship calls or inland transport capacity.

Average weekly vessel calls, across services
Loaded and discharged TEU movements per call
Assumed practical inland and feeder network limit
Terminal Design Ceiling 2,000,000

Announced eventual annual TEU capacity

Scheduled Liner Handling 390,000

Weekly calls × TEUs per call × 52

Inland / Feeder Limit 600,000

User-selected annual transport capacity

Estimated Terminal Utilization 19.5%
Utilization is calculated against the eventual 2M TEU design ceiling, not a phased opening capacity or financial break-even threshold.
3. Allocate Possible Cargo Diversions

Set the relative share of switched cargo that could come from each incumbent gateway. Inputs are automatically normalized to 100%. These values are assumptions, not measured losses.

Scenario weight
Scenario weight
Scenario weight
Scenario weight
Scenario weight
Hamburg
117,000 TEU
Bremerhaven
43,875 TEU
Gdańsk
73,125 TEU
Gdynia
43,875 TEU
Klaipėda
14,625 TEU
Only cargo shifted from incumbent gateways appears in this allocation. Newly generated cargo is counted separately. If all port weights are zero, allocation remains unassigned.
4. Compare All-In Logistics Costs

Enter delivered cost per TEU for the incumbent gateway and the proposed Świnoujście route, including relevant ocean, terminal, rail, road and feeder costs. These are illustrative quotes in EUR.

Illustrative average existing route cost
Illustrative all-in new gateway cost
Requested New Gateway Volume 400,000

Target diverted traffic plus new cargo

Modeled Annual Throughput 390,000

Limited by demand and capacity constraints

Shifted From Existing Ports 292,500

Hypothetical incumbent TEUs reallocated

New / Incremental Cargo Handled 97,500

Traffic not assumed to come from other ports

Requested Volume Above Capacity 10,000

Remains at other gateways or needs additional capacity

Required Whole Vessel Calls / Week 4

At selected average TEU moves per call

All-In Cost Difference €25/TEU

Positive means Świnoujście is cheaper

Annual Shipper Savings Potential €7.31M

Only on cargo hypothetically switched from incumbent routes

Primary Constraint Liner Calls

Limiting factor at selected demand and capacity

More Scheduled Calls Are Needed to Meet the Target

The selected assumptions produce less scheduled call capacity than targeted cargo demand.

Model methodology: Targeted diverted cargo equals addressable annual TEU multiplied by capture percentage. Requested new gateway volume equals targeted diverted cargo plus incremental new cargo. Annual liner-call capacity equals scheduled calls per week multiplied by average TEU movements per call and 52 weeks. Actual modeled throughput is the smallest of requested volume, 2,000,000 annual TEU design capacity, scheduled call capacity and entered inland/feeder capacity. When capacity is insufficient, both diverted and incremental cargo are allocated proportionally. The remainder is not treated as lost cargo: it stays at other gateways or requires a different service arrangement. Port-specific diversion figures equal modeled switched TEUs multiplied by each normalized scenario weight. Delivered-cost advantage equals incumbent €/TEU less Świnoujście €/TEU. Annual shipper savings potential equals that difference multiplied by modeled cargo switched from incumbent ports. A negative result represents an incremental cost, not a saving. Required whole weekly vessel calls equal the ceiling of requested annual TEUs divided by 52 and the assumed average TEUs handled per call. Important limitations: The 2M TEU figure is Poland's future terminal design capacity. This tool assumes the terminal is complete and fully available, solely for scenario analysis. All cargo capture, shipping-line service, inland capacity, port-share and cost assumptions are hypothetical. No construction-cost recovery or terminal profitability is inferred from shipper savings. Actual port fees, liner networks, vessel draft restrictions, transit times, empty-container repositioning, transshipment double counting, land transport contracts and berth productivity may differ. Total annual TEU handling is not the same as unique import/export containers. Port diversion figures are not predictions of losses at named competing ports.
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By the ShipUniverse Editorial Team — About Us | Contact


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