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The $122 Billion Naval Arms Race: Warship Production Has Jumped Nearly 50% in Two Years

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Global military and paramilitary shipbuilding production reached approximately $122 billion in 2024–2025, compared with $82 billion in 2022–2023, according to figures highlighted by Naval Group CEO Pierre-Eric Pommellet at the Euronaval opening conference in Paris on November 2, 2026. The increase of nearly 50% reflects a sharp acceleration in naval construction, with China overtaking the United States as the largest producing nation. The underlying World Defense Shipbuilding 2026 study, published ahead of the exhibition, shows that nuclear-powered attack submarines and guided-missile destroyers accounted for much of the increase in production value. The report's detailed tables record 280 vessels delivered worldwide in 2024–2025, up from 243 in the preceding two years, while total assessed production value rose substantially faster than vessel numbers.

ShipUniverse | Global Naval Production Intelligence

More Warships.
Much More Value Per Delivery.

Euronaval's 2026 study reveals a fundamental shift in naval production. Total deliveries rose, but nuclear attack submarines and destroyers drove a disproportionately large share of the additional industrial value.
EURONAVAL DISCLOSURE | NOV 2, 2026 2024–25 PRODUCTION WORLDWIDE
$122B+Headline global production valuation
+46.7%Increase from detailed valuation tables
280Vessels delivered in 2024–25
+15.2%Increase in vessel delivery count
01 / What changed in two years

The global output step-change

Detailed Euronaval study tables, assessed value of vessels delivered. USD billions over each full two-year period.

2022–2023$84.47B
2024–2025$123.93B
EXTRA ASSESSED DELIVERY VALUE+$39.46BIncrease across military, paramilitary and qualifying support-vessel construction
The study's written summary rounds global value to $122B versus $82B. Its detailed category tables instead total $123.933B versus $84.471B. The calculations shown here consistently use the detailed tables.

Who generated the additional value?

Composition of the $39.462 billion increase in assessed production value.

Nuclear attack / guided-missile submarinesCategory value grew from $10.17B to $27.37B
+$17.20B
Guided-missile destroyersCategory value grew from $16.00B to $25.02B
+$9.02B
All other categories, netIncludes growth and declines across other vessel classes
+$13.24B
NUCLEAR ATTACK SUBMARINES6 → 17Global units delivered, prior vs latest two years
GUIDED-MISSILE DESTROYERS13 → 24Units using the study's detailed DDG classification
FLEET REPLENISHMENT SHIPS5 → 12Fuel, ammunition and replenishment ships in AOR/AE category
Data boundary: The report counts qualifying vessels over 200 tonnes delivered by shipbuilding countries, including relevant coast guard and auxiliary vessels. These valuations are not a tally of new contracts signed in November 2026, annual defense spending or cash revenue earned by specific shipyard companies.
SHIPUNIVERSE / NAVAL SUPPLIER INTELLIGENCE

One Naval Boom.
Eight Different Markets.

Submarines and guided-missile destroyers generated most of the additional production value. Other categories, including some coastal combat vessels, moved in the opposite direction.
Production and assessed value by vessel category Use the synchronized top or bottom scrollbar
Vessel category 2022–23 units 2024–25 units 2022–23 value 2024–25 value Value change Potential supplier exposure
Nuclear attack submarinesSSN / SSGN 617 $10.170B$27.370B +$17.200B Specialist propulsion systems, high-integrity valves, nuclear-qualified components, acoustic systems, sonar and precision fabrication.
Guided-missile destroyersDDG 1324 $16.000B$25.020B +$9.020B Integrated combat systems, radar, propulsion, electrical distribution, cooling, communications and launch-system integration.
Offshore patrol vesselsPS / WPS 3948 $3.727B$7.704B +$3.977B Diesel machinery, hull fabrication, surveillance electronics, small combat systems and endurance-related equipment.
Conventional submarinesSSK 1118 $5.933B$8.546B +$2.613B Batteries, electric drives, acoustic equipment, combat systems, life-support machinery and specialist pressure-hull production.
Fleet replenishmentAOR / AE 512 $2.230B$4.394B +$2.164B Marine pumps, cargo-transfer systems, tanks, fuel-handling equipment, automation and underway-replenishment machinery.
Guided-missile frigatesFFG 2728 $11.824B$13.518B +$1.694B Propulsion, radar, electronic warfare, ASW sensors, electric systems and platform-management technology.
Coastal patrol craftPC / WPC 4022 $1.183B$0.900B −$0.283B Reduced delivered units in this category contrast with larger offshore-patrol construction. These are not identical vessel missions.
Aircraft carriersCV / CVN 21 $8.200B$6.000B −$2.200B Very large engineering programs, but delivery timing makes two-year comparisons especially sensitive to individual ships.
Source: Euronaval World Defense Shipbuilding 2026, vessel-category tables covering deliveries in 2022–23 and 2024–25. Values are assessed USD billions, not actual supplier contract awards. Rows are selected categories, not the full global total. Supplier exposure is ShipUniverse interpretation.

Where additional spending meets a physical bottleneck

Shipbuilding output cannot grow merely because governments increase procurement budgets. Four constraints can determine whether a funded program becomes a delivered ship.

01 / DESIGN

Engineering maturity

Late design changes can delay production, require rework and disrupt suppliers that need stable specifications.

02 / SUPPLY

Long-lead equipment

Propulsion components, specialist castings, valves, sensors and other qualified systems can constrain construction.

03 / LABOR

Skilled production hours

Welders, pipefitters, machinists, electrical specialists and commissioning teams are difficult to scale rapidly.

04 / DELIVERY

Testing and integration

Combat-system integration, trials, certification and defect corrections can postpone final ship delivery.

U.S. CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE | 2026 About 70% of critical submarine suppliers have no competitors.

CBO reports that, for U.S. submarines, approximately seven in ten suppliers of critical components lack competing suppliers. That concentration can restrict rapid production increases even when additional funding is available.

Procurement distinction: Naval shipbuilding includes both high-end combatants and less expensive auxiliary vessels. A rise in assessed production value does not guarantee that every propulsion manufacturer, electronics company or fabrication yard will experience equivalent revenue growth.
ShipUniverse Interactive Tool / Naval Shipbuilding

More Orders Are Not
More Delivered Warships.

Select a vessel class from the Euronaval dataset, set a higher production target and explore how many concurrent build positions, manufacturing resources and potential supplier dollars the scenario would imply.
Global study period2024–25
Reported production17 ships
Assessed class value$27.37B
SCENARIO PRESETS

Model the production program

The historical category counts and assessed values are taken from Euronaval. Future targets, build times and supplier shares are hypothetical.

Select a different class to load that category's historical delivery and valuation data.
22 ships
17 ships51 ships
Scenario target, not a government orderbook or official production forecast.
5 years
1 year12 years
Illustrative construction cycle. Actual shipbuilding lead times vary by yard, class and manufacturing stage.
43 slots
0500 vessel-equivalent positions
Hypothetical global production capacity for this vessel category, not an observed yard-slot inventory.
15%
1%40% of assessed build value
Assumed portion of the vessel value attributable to a type of supplier work, such as propulsion or specialized machinery.
10%
1%50%
Hypothetical share captured by a supplier or supplier group. It is not a contract win probability.
Modeled required concurrent build positions
55

Vessel-equivalent projects in construction to support the selected two-year delivery pace under a steady-state model.

12 more positions than the selected capacity
Modeled two-year production value$35.42B

Recent assessed average value per delivered vessel applied to the target volume.

Required annual delivery pace11.0

Ships delivered per year over the modeled two-year period.

Illustrative supplier-content pool$5.31B

Selected content share of modeled production value.

Illustrative supplier capture$531M

Selected share of the hypothetical supplier-content pool.

Workload versus build capacity

Illustrative concurrent vessel-equivalent workloads, not verified physical slipways or construction berths.

Workload at 2024–25 delivery pace42.5
Workload for your target55.0
Assumed available capacity43.0

The production expansion requirement

Historical two-year deliveries17 vessels
Scenario two-year deliveries22 vessels
Extra completed ships per year+2.5
Additional parallel positions required12.0
Implied production growth+29.4%
At the current vessel category's historical pace, a five-year construction cycle implies 42.5 concurrent projects. Your higher output target would require 55.0 positions, exceeding the assumed 43 available vessel-equivalent positions by 12.0.

Methodology and assumptions

Average assessed value per vessel = 2024–25 category value ÷ category vessel deliveries. The model holds this historical average constant for hypothetical future deliveries. It does not predict actual contract prices or mix changes within a class.

Annual completion rate = target two-year deliveries ÷ 2. Required parallel build positions = annual completion rate × construction duration in years. This is a simplified steady-state workload model. It does not reflect construction ramp-up, uneven delivery timing or actual yard-specific capacity.

Supplier content pool = modeled production value × assumed supplier content share. Supplier capture = content pool × assumed capture percentage. Neither percentage represents a measured market share or a financial forecast.

The study's assessed construction values may include integrated systems, national cost differences and ships built for export. Production and supplier expenditure can occur across several years before delivery, so assigning the full assessed value to the delivery period does not imply that the same amount of cash was paid during those two years.

Scope: The calculation is a sensitivity model for industrial planning. It is not a forecast of defense appropriations, supplier awards, profits, naval readiness, future ship orders or individual government procurement decisions.

Feedback Welcome

We welcome your feedback, suggestions, corrections, and ideas for enhancements.

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By the ShipUniverse Editorial Team — About Us | Contact


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