10 Hidden Voyage Killers

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Small misses stack into big money. Across a 30โ€“40 day voyage, a few hours of queueing, a missed tide, or a slow shift at the berth quietly eats 5โ€“15% of TCE. This series spotlights the top offenders and gives you a quick way to price each one in seconds.

1 Queueing & Window Misses Hidden TCE killer

Waiting at anchor/berth or slipping a pilot/tide/canal booking window. The sting isnโ€™t the minutes, itโ€™s the cascade: a missed slot often adds +12โ€“24 h (or more) to the voyage.

Common triggers
  • Berth congestion / slow turnarounds
  • Narrow tide bars & pilot windows
  • Canal booking cutoffs / auction delays
Quick fixes
  • JIT arrival to hit windows precisely
  • Terminal intel: live crane rates & queue
  • โ€œPlan Bโ€ routing (Canal on/off) pre-modeled
Impact calculator
Confidence (illustrative)
Voyage cost impact
$10,000
(delay hours ร— $/day รท 24)
Avg TCE hit per day
-$333/day
(voyage impact รท voyage days)
Screening only, pair with local berth/pilot/canal intel. JIT arrival can turn this number into fuel savings instead of lost time.
2 Weather-routing miss Time & fuel penalty

Choosing a track that rides adverse currents, heavier swell, or headwinds adds hours and lifts fuel burn. The hit shows up as extra steaming time and a higher consumption curve, even if speed through water looks โ€œon plan.โ€

Common triggers
  • Ignoring current sets (Kuroshio, Agulhas) for a shorter rhumb line
  • Underweighting swell angle โ†’ slamming & added resistance
  • Chasing schedule at the wrong RPM band (cube-law bite)
Quick fixes
  • Current-aware routing with โ€œcost per nmโ€ layers active
  • Speed envelope locks (no creeping +0.5 kn)
  • Sea-state limits baked into RPM set-points
Impact calculator
Confidence (illustrative)
Opportunity cost (time)
$6,667
added hours ร— $/day รท 24
Extra fuel cost
$733
baseline t/day ร— % ร— price ร— (hrs/24)
Avg TCE hit per day
-$246/day
(time + fuel) รท voyage days
Screening only, compare against an alternative route with currents/swell accounted for. Small speed trims often beat brute-force RPM.
3 Ops and idle cranes Port productivity hit

Small slowdowns on the berth add up. A short crane stop, a gang changeover, or a lower-than-briefed rate can push the vessel into a new tide or pilot window. That can convert minutes into a full extra day.

Common triggers
  • Crane breakdowns or slow cycle time
  • Weather hold for swell or lightning
  • Paperwork waits and shift changeovers
Quick fixes
  • Live monitor of crane rate versus briefed target
  • Early push on spares and gang staffing
  • Standby tug and pilot coordination when windows are tight
Impact calculator
Confidence (illustrative)
Voyage opportunity cost
$10,000
idle hours total ร— $ per day รท 24
Port-hour cost add-on
$0
idle hours total ร— port-hour cost
Avg TCE hit per day
-$333/day
(opp cost + port cost) รท voyage days
Use real berth logs to set the idle slider. If a missed window is likely, tick the box so you price the cascade, not the minutes.
4 Draft under-lift Parcel shortfall

When river or berth draft is tight you cannot lift the planned parcel. A 1,000 to 3,000 tonne shortfall removes margin and may force extra voyages in a program.

Common triggers
  • Seasonal river levels and siltation
  • Air draft limits that block topping off
  • Conservative terminal under-keel clearance policy
Quick fixes
  • Trim and ballast plan to free extra centimetres
  • Topping off at a deeper roadstead if safe and allowed
  • Load plan that protects stowage factor and stability
Impact calculator
Confidence (illustrative)
Lost cargo margin
$18,000
shortfall ร— calls ร— margin per tonne
Avg TCE hit per day
-$600/day
lost margin รท voyage days
Use real stowage factors and terminal drafts for accuracy. If topping off is viable tick the box so the tool credits the recovery.
5 Fouling drag Fuel penalty

Slime, weed and roughness add resistance. Even light growth raises fuel. Heavier biofouling can move the curve a lot. Time the clean to high sea-day legs for fast payback.

Common triggers
  • Warm ports with long layups
  • Low speed patterns that reduce wake flushing
  • Delayed hull clean or missed propeller polish
Quick fixes
  • Regular underwater clean and propeller polish
  • Trim and speed policy that avoids high slip at low RPM
  • Biofouling management plan that targets hot spots
Impact calculator
Confidence (illustrative)
Extra fuel cost this voyage
$16,500
baseline ร— penalty ร— price ร— days
Payback time if cleaned now
8 sea days
cleaning cost รท daily saving
Net benefit this voyage
$7,000
savings over remaining days minus cleaning cost
Use actual noon report consumption at reference speed for baseline. If you will clean between legs set sea days to those that benefit after cleaning.
6 Speed creep Fuel curve bite

Drifting 0.3 to 1.0 knots above plan pushes fuel nonlinearly. If arrival brings waiting at anchor there is no schedule benefit, only extra burn. Lock the speed envelope and match ETA to the window.

Common triggers
  • RPM set for schedule catch-up without window check
  • No speed guardrails in noon report workflow
  • Underestimating cube-law type fuel curves
Quick fixes
  • Set min and max speed bands tied to ETA window
  • Use current and sea-state aware routing targets
  • Share a single ETA with agent and terminal to avoid early arrival waits
Impact calculator
Confidence (illustrative)
Extra fuel cost this leg
$0
(daily extra burn ร— price ร— sea days)
Schedule value credited
$0
(days saved ร— TCE) if arrival credit is checked
Avg TCE hit per day
-$0/day
(extra fuel minus credit) รท voyage days
If arrival leads to waiting, leave the credit box off. The model assumes constant distance and uses a standard speed exponent. Use your vessel curve if you have it.
7 Bunker off-spec and energy Effective $ per tonne up

When fuel tests low on energy content or the delivered quantity is below what you paid for, your effective $ per tonne rises. The impact is quiet but persistent over a voyage.

Common triggers
  • Lower MJ per kg than fixture assumption
  • Density variance and air entrapment at delivery
  • Sludge and water content that reduce usable fuel
Quick fixes
  • Stick to witnessed sampling and prompt lab testing
  • Use mass-flow meters where available
  • Flag energy content in comparisons not only price
Impact calculator
Confidence (illustrative)
Extra cost this voyage
$0
energy deficit + quantity variance + handling
Effective fuel uplift USD per tonne
$0/t
extra cost รท total fuel used
Avg TCE hit per day
-$0/day
extra cost รท voyage days
Use tested MJ per kg and density from your bunker delivery note or lab report. If you resolve a claim later, you can subtract the recovered amount from the extra cost.
8 ROB disputes Quantity and custody risk

Quantity and custody disputes at bunkering or at redelivery turn into quiet cash leakage. A small tonnage variance plus handling and delay often clears five figures before any claim recovery.

Common triggers
  • Non witnessed sampling or poor sealing
  • Tank calibration uncertainty and temperature correction errors
  • No mass flow meter and limited barge transparency
Quick fixes
  • Witnessed sampling and sealed MARPOL kits
  • Mass flow meter and aligned temperature reference
  • Clear ROB protocol at delivery and redelivery
Impact calculator
Confidence (illustrative)
Gross exposure
$0
variance ร— price + survey + delay cost
Expected recovery
$0
gross exposure ร— recovery percent
Net cost and TCE hit
$0
-$0/day over voyage
Set variance from your delivery note or ROB survey. If a claim later returns funds subtract that amount from net cost. Use the mass flow meter checkbox when the bunker port mandates MFM.
9 No JIT arrival Sail fast then wait

If you arrive before the workable berth or pilot window you burn extra fuel and then sit at anchor. JIT targets the same ETA window with a lower speed so fuel falls and CII improves.

Common triggers
  • No confirmed berth or pilot time
  • Separate ETAs shared with agent and terminal
  • Speed policy without guardrails
Quick fixes
  • One ETA owner with live window updates
  • Speed envelope that targets the window midpoint
  • Weather and current aware set points
Impact calculator
Confidence (illustrative)
Extra fuel from speed up
$0
(daily extra burn ร— price ร— sea days)
Waiting cost at anchor
$0
(waiting hours ร— TCE รท 24)
Potential JIT saving
$0
fuel saved by slower speed plus wait avoided
Avg TCE hit per day
-$0/day
(fuel + wait โˆ’ JIT saving) รท voyage days
If the berth opens as soon as you arrive uncheck JIT adoption. Otherwise JIT aims to trade speed for fuel savings so arrival meets the workable window.
10 Trim and ballast Hydrodynamic efficiency

Small trim errors change resistance. A few centimeters off the optimum can lift fuel burn. Ballast planning that respects stability and bending moments allows you to sit near the vesselโ€™s sweet spot more often.

Common triggers
  • One size fits all trim targets across speeds and drafts
  • Ballast kept for convenience not for resistance
  • No feedback loop from noon consumption to trim tables
Quick fixes
  • Trim curves by speed and displacement kept on the bridge
  • Ballast plan that protects GM and bending moments while targeting the sweet spot
  • Post voyage review of speed fuel outliers against trim set points
Impact calculator
Confidence (illustrative)
Fuel penalty at current trim
$0
baseline ร— penalty ร— price ร— sea days
Saving if optimized now
$0
penalty ร— recoverable share ร— price ร— days (+0.5% ballast if checked)
Net benefit this voyage
$0
+$0/day over voyage
Respect stability, structural limits and sloshing. Use class approved trim tables if available. The calculator is a screening tool and uses simple percentage effects.

The items above are screening tools, not verdicts. Each calculator isolates one mechanism and shows a simple range for potential TCE impact. Use your own noon reports, port-call logs, bunker analyses, and trim tables to set realistic defaults for your fleet and routes.

When you apply these checks together you get a more accurate picture of avoidable loss. Update assumptions after each voyage, compare predicted impact with actuals, and keep the models simple enough for the bridge and the office to use without friction.

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